Saturday, February 23, 2008

Chapter 10 Statistical Inference Part 1

HW due Thursday: Problems 10.67 and 10.68 PLUS create a study guide for Chapter 10. YOUR TEST will be Tuesday, March 4. This is a short day, so you will have to think fast! HW due Monday: 10.70, 10.71, 10.78, 10.81, 10.82, 10.86. In addition to reviewing, we will be taking an ASMA test and starting Chapter 11 Thursday, Friday, and Monday.

HW due Wednesday: Problems 39, 40, and 43 done completely. Answers from the calculator are not sufficient.

HW due Tuesday, Feb 26: Problems 27, 28, 33, and 34 covering hypothesis testing. You may need to refer to the PHANTOMS side of the worksheet. If you have difficulty writing hypotheses, do problems 30, 31, and 32 as well.

RE: Hypotheses writing
The hypotheses always include PARAMETERS, not statistics. Use mu and p, not x-bar and p-hat. The null hypothesis always has an "equal to" nature rather than a greater than or less than.

HW due Monday, Feb 25: Problems from Chapter 10 (5, 12, 13, 14, 15). You will need to read the subsection, example, and info box before problem 13 to do the last few problems.

The AP registration deadline is upon us! Go to the Lassiter homepage and register for your exams. Bring a check to Ms Gasaway tomorrow.

HW for Friday, Feb 22: Do problems from Chapter 10: 10.6, 10.7, and 10.8 using your choice of SCAD or PHANTOMS and PANIC. The answers should be complete!

HW due Thursday, Feb 21: RE-DO problems 12.6-12.9 using the PHANTOMS or PANIC guides handed out in class. For those who miss Thursday's class due to a field trip, bring all homework on the day you return to demonstrate that you are current in the class or I will assign a more comprehensive set of problems upon your return to catch you up.

For Friday, Feb 22: continue to create confidence intervals, this time using x-bar and sigma of x. Do problems from Chapter 10: 10.6, 10.7, and 10.8. What assumptions or conditions do you need to check? If you guessed (1) SRS and independent observations, (2) population distribution is approximately normally distributed (or your sample is large enough for the central limit theorem to apply), and (3) the sample is less than one-tenth of the population size, then your brain is a finely-tuned instrument.

As you recall from Friday, the formula for the confidence interval for one proportion is p-hat +/- z* times SQRT(p-hat*(1-p-hat)/n)).

The source of the handout in today's class is
http://www.district196.org/evhs/People/baileyrcweb/APS%20Files/APS%20Main.htm

Please strike through the references to "retaining" the null hypothesis as well as the graph of a normal distribution on the confidence interval page. These are not appropriate for AP Statistics.

HW due Wednesday, Feb 20: 12.8 and 12.9 with complete solutions.

HW due Friday: Journal entry using problem 3 from the 2006 AP exam PLUS problems 12.6 and 12.7 from the text.

Alpha = the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true. It is the probability of a Type 1 error. This is the area associated with the rejection region.

HW due Thursday: Finish the 4-page worksheet about Distracted Drivers. Work on your journal entry (due Friday in a composition notebook).

HW due Tuesday: Problems 12.4 and 12.5. You'll have to read the information on the two pages preceding these questions. Come to class prepared to (1) explain how likely/unlikely your sample of pom-poms was from today's activity. That means that you have to calculate the z-value for your observation and compute the probability in the tail. ALSO, (2) be ready to explain how to simulate the distracted driver scenario using cards.

HW due Monday: Page 7 of 2006 Form B, problem 3 (golf balls) AND figure out a way to simulate the situation for problem 5 on page 9 of 2007 (the cell phone distraction problem).

JOURNAL ENTRY: The complete, perfect write-up of problem 3 from 2006 (page 8) will be due on Friday. The problem should be the first part of the entry, your fabulous answer should follow. This is the first problem to be entered in your composition notebook.

Has anyone tried this website? http://stattrek.com/AP-Statistics-1/AP-Statistics-Intro.aspx?Tutorial=ap

I wondered if it was helpful. Please let me know.

2 comments:

derek said...

Warning: The text book authors need to be punished. The answer in the back of the book for number 67 says "We accept the null hypothesis if..." =O
booo

Mrs.L said...

You'll probably notice that the section of the text discussing Type I and Type II errors is filled with "accept" notation--even the two-way table! Rest assured that YMS3 (the new edition with Daren Starnes) consistently uses FTR. I suspect that Moore was behind the "filthy" language because even YMS2 used the dreaded a-word.